Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 6.727707 7.837184 9.036144 10.423693 11.980671 13.669236 15.634267
2025-12-07 5.174097 6.639517 8.345665 10.461635 12.997040 15.918498 19.519150
2025-12-14 4.276275 5.916601 7.938552 10.578820 13.896751 17.887510 23.005584
2025-12-21 3.601903 5.323511 7.552958 10.593861 14.569021 19.520077 26.074978
2025-12-28 3.193214 4.999378 7.439976 10.893990 15.559858 21.539786 29.663219
2026-01-04 2.834719 4.685022 7.286098 11.093482 16.391016 23.355322 33.032427
2026-01-11 2.493650 4.344779 7.048195 11.134204 16.979086 24.845966 36.006252
2026-01-18 2.114699 3.894005 6.597268 10.818778 17.028213 25.583834 37.971802
2026-01-25 1.814061 3.524881 6.224727 10.573401 17.138725 26.382676 40.020189
2026-02-01 1.551949 3.182842 5.855515 10.292799 17.162748 27.038024 41.867877
2026-02-08 1.333138 2.884752 5.523546 10.035009 17.190185 27.679284 43.695959
2026-02-15 1.131231 2.588001 5.161566 9.694048 17.057852 28.064565 45.149401
2026-02-22 1.017451 2.444174 5.049228 9.755203 17.558414 29.413607 48.068508
2026-03-01 0.913027 2.303972 4.928705 9.790416 18.013869 30.706205 50.942449
2026-03-08 0.831056 2.197714 4.857871 9.901397 18.590394 32.196362 54.150094
2026-03-15 0.746371 2.072821 4.738919 9.915645 19.001510 33.437135 57.009658
2026-03-22 0.701423 2.029613 4.771290 10.200017 19.873577 35.424658 61.064182
2026-03-29 0.650300 1.964558 4.753741 10.389079 20.587511 37.179422 64.802605
2026-04-05 0.589432 1.866723 4.660180 10.427677 21.038763 38.521619 67.927986
2026-04-12 0.505482 1.696929 4.400053 10.128746 20.878215 38.856857 69.465405
2026-04-19 0.437409 1.555302 4.183866 9.896262 20.818244 39.346427 71.251569
2026-04-26 0.375358 1.417562 3.960496 9.630469 20.679195 39.691432 72.804429
2026-05-03 0.322515 1.294766 3.756482 9.386348 20.562749 40.062895 74.400931